HENRIK AALBORG NIELSEN, ENFOR

Short term forecasting of renewable energy resources

Renewable energy resources such as e.g. the wind power production for the following day are forecasted based on meteorological forecasts and knowledge about technical availability equipment such as wind turbines. Based on actual measurements the forecasts are checked against reality and adjusted if required. We consider an energy system based on 100% renewable resources and discuss why forecasting of the renewable energy resources are required in order to take appropriate control actions in real time. This discussion is addressed both from a market perspective and from a technical perspective exemplified via an isolated system. Finally, we exemplify how advanced forecast types can be used. 

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